Minsk Agreements Donbas
As a sign of the loss of credibility of the chords, one of the original authors is now withdrawing from his performance. Much of what eventually became the Minsk agreement stemmed from Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko`s June 2014 peace plan, for which he campaigned and won elections, at a time when peace was still popular and not yet seen as another tool by Moscow to destabilize Kiev. But now Poroshenko is publicly distancing himself from the agreements. In 2018, he appeased the nationalists by saying: “There is no Minsk. only Normandy. In early 2019, Poroshenko again publicly sided with the ultranationalists, agreeing that donbass should never receive special constitutional status, even though he had spent four years trying to get the same status renewed by parliament. On the 12th. February 2021 marks the sixth anniversary of the signing of the Minsk Protocol, whose full name is “A series of measures to implement the Minsk agreements concluded in September aimed at achieving a de-escalation of the armed conflict in eastern Ukraine”. The document bears the signatures of German Chancellor Angela Merkel, French President François Hollande, Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko and President of the Russian Federation Vladimir Putin. The heads of state and government of Ukraine, France, Germany and Russia also approved a declaration that provides the framework for the so-called Normandy format of negotiations on conflict resolution in Donbass. The protocol signed in Minsk ended the hot phase of Russian military aggression in the Donbass. At the same time, there has never been a real settlement of the situation in the region. Today, parts of the Donetsk and Luhansk regions are occupied and beyond the control of the government.
Russia continues to support and control proxy administrations in the occupied territories, while exerting military and political pressure on Ukraine. But how could the conflict escalate? A victory for pro-Russian revanchists in the 2019 Ukrainian elections could lead to this outcome, as could a rapid growth of the far right and violent resistance in Minsk if Russia ever creates conditions in the Donbass that commit Ukraine to implementing the agreements. In both cases, radicals of both extremes could be encouraged, which could lead to protests or a resumption of violence outside the conflict zone, which Russian propaganda could use to further slander Ukraine as illiberal and ungovernable. Otherwise, however, it seems likely that the conflict will continue to freeze. Nadiya Savchenko and Oleg Sentsov.  The Crisis Media Centre in Ukraine initiated and organized a public debate during which participants were invited to discuss the following issues. What progress has been made in the implementation of the Minsk agreements over the past six years? Have the Minsk agreements reached their potential? What are the alternative mechanisms to resolve the military conflict in Donbass? Do they even exist? What is the opinion of Ukraine`s allies? “I know that there is a debate in Ukraine about the validity of the Minsk agreements. However, we believe that you will not resolve the situation in eastern Ukraine by changing the format of the negotiations. There is a lack of political will, and at this point Russia bears much of the responsibility. Since my arrival, I have heard of “Plan B” several times.
In the meantime, you will continue to follow `Plan A` – the Minsk agreements and the Normandy format,” the French ambassador to Ukraine said. Worse still, in mid-January 2015, Russian forces launched a new offensive in the Donbass, making additional demands. The resulting Minsk II agreement, signed in February 2015, was, as Sharap puts it, “a victorious peace imposed on Ukraine essentially by Russia with the barrel of a weapon.” Nevertheless, the Minsk II agreement is used as a starting point, so the argument can be made that Ukraine`s compliance with the agreement, “however imperfect it may be, could in fact invite a de-escalation of Russia and revive the languishing peace process.” But the history of this conflict is very clear: ukrainian concessions invite a new Russian escalation. The statement by Russia`s Permanent Representative to the OSCE, Alexander Lukashevich, who publicly stated in May 2021 that the Minsk agreements did not impose any obligations on Russia, showed the real value of Russia`s commitment. Dec 6 (Reuters) – The United States has warned Russia not to invade Ukraine, calling on the two countries to return to a series of agreements aimed at ending a Russian-speaking separatist war in eastern Ukraine. Continue reading “The Minsk agreements are the only basis today. There are two platforms – the Normandy format as the highest level at which the settlement of the international military conflict between Russia and Ukraine in the Donbass can be sought, and the Trilateral Contact Group, which meets virtually `in Minsk`, as well as the protocols and measures associated with it,” Explained Oleksiy Reznikov. As fighting raged in Debaltseve, emergency negotiations took place in Minsk, mediated by German Chancellor Angela Merkel and French President François Hollande. The result was a “set of measures for the implementation of the Minsk agreements” (“Minsk-2”). This document, which was published on 12.
Signed in February 2015 by representatives of the OSCE, Russia, Ukraine, DNR and LNR, it provided the framework for subsequent attempts to end the war.51 For these reasons, suspicion of the agreements runs deep, with claims that the former KGB, which still works for the Kremlin, specifically wrote the special statute and amnesty elements of Minsk. to provoke Ukrainian patriotic pride and force the country to federalize or separate. Negotiations laden with loaded names only fuel such speculation; These include controversial ex-president Leonid Kuchma and oligarchs who are also believed to be close confidants of Putin, such as Viktor Medvedchuk and Nestor Schufrych. The viability and credibility of the entire process is low. .